Nathaniel Cook – Forecasting Time Combination of Facts at size with the TICK grow

Description
Forecasting time series data across a variety of different time series comes with many challenges. Using the TICK stack we demonstrate a workflow that helps to overcome those challenges. Specifically we take a look at the Facebook Prophet procedure for forecasting business time series.

Abstract
Forecasting time series data can require a significant amount of attention in order to get reliable results. As the number and variety of time series increases it becomes too expensive to manage each forecast individually. Using the TICK stack we demonstrate a workflow that helps to reduce the amount of attention each forecast needs. This is accomplished by using the procedure called Prophet, which was recently open sourced by Facebook.

The basic idea of this procedure is two fold:

Reduce the amount of effort to train and maintain a single forecast.
Automatically surface the forecasts that are performing poorly.
To reduce the amount of effort per forecast, the Facebook Prophet algorithm is a simple model with a few well understood parameters. By automatically surfacing forecasts that perform poorly, effort need only be spent when specific forecasts need attention.

The last piece needed to make this process scale is a single set of tools that follow the workflow. We demonstrate how the TICK stack can be used to manage forecasting time series at scale, using InfluxDB to store the data and Kapacitor to manage and surface forecasts.

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Kaggle Test (Reside)

Two Sigma Investments published a 0,000 code competition on Kaggle that asks data scientists around the world to try their best to create an algorithm that can make predictions about anonymous financial instruments (like derivatives, assets, bonds). Normally, reinforcement learning is not used on Kaggle but in this live stream I’ll use reinforcement learning to help solve this challenge. This will serve as a great real-world use case for RL and I’ll also discuss some other common time series forecasting methods. Get hype!

Code for this video:
https://github.com/llSourcell/Kaggle_Challenge_LIVE-Two-Sigma

Dataset:
https://www.kaggle.com/c/two-sigma-financial-modeling/downloads/train.h5.zip

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Video Rating: / 5

Speculators Provide Carries Right this moment! Here’s the true Reason Why Stocks and shares Immerse Notate Vastly.

Investors Are SELLING Stocks Right Now! Here’s the REAL Reason Why Stocks Are Near Record High.

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#stocks #invest #money

Lair Buffett: In the event that Stocks and shares Get down, It's Nice thing about it | CNBC

I never know what markets are going to do, says Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway CEO sharing his observations. But I know what markets are going to do over a long period of time – they’re going to go up. We’ve always been a net buyer of stocks, says Buffett.
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Warren Buffett: When Stocks Go Down, It’s Good News | CNBC
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Stocks keep going down today as Amazon and Google both reported earning that disappointed investors. What should you do? How can we as investors continue to navigate this period of stock market volatility? Subscribe here for more content: http://bit.ly/SubscribeMichaelJay

10/26/2018 US stock performance:
DOW down 1.19%
NASDAQ down 2.06%
S&P 500 down 1.73%
AMZN down 7.82%
WDC down 18.18%

Navigation
Market Summary and Individual Stock Discussion
00:22 Market performance summary of 10/24/2018
00:53 Worst performing stocks
01:30 ETF heat maps
02:43 Facebook stock price (FB stock)
03:07 Amazon stock price and earnings (AMZN stock)
04:33 Google stock price (GOOGL stock)
04:43 Netflix stock price (NFLX stock)
04:59 Apple stock price (AAPL stock)
05:35 Nvidia stock price (NVDA stock)
05:52 Western Digital stock price (WDC stock)
General Discussion and Lessons for Investors
06:58 Could anyone have seen this coming?
07:48 Passive investing warning
10:09 Watch out for bubbles/high valuation stocks
11:24 But don’t markets always go up?
12:45 Hypothetical stock market crash scenarios
14:02 Practical advice for times of market volatility

Videos Mentioned
04:47 Netflix Stock EXPLODES Up 15% After Earnings (and why I am NOT buying) https://youtu.be/-ALeVgUtL_8
06:25 Is Micron Stock a Buy? | MU Stock Analysis https://youtu.be/43Zn_lCMq4U
07:45 3 Reasons The Stock Market Could CRASH 20% or More – https://youtu.be/BkiKMjgkOX8
13:58 Related videos on stock market crash/preparation:
3 Reasons The Stock Market Could CRASH 20% or More – https://youtu.be/BkiKMjgkOX8
Stock Market Crash Protection: How Much Cash Should You Have? – https://youtu.be/imMERnnd8gg
Crash Proof Portfolio: 3 Portfolios to Protect Against a Stock Market Crash – https://youtu.be/fOAVaL5Osw0
STOCKS DOWN BIG TODAY – What Next? – https://youtu.be/RrxFjDI56Fk

OTHER CONTENT YOU MAY ENJOY BELOW

// Value Stocks I’m Watching Series
In this series, we will be focusing on value stocks that appear to offer significant upside for long term investors.

// Stock Market News Series
In this series, we cover the latest stock market investment news and break down what it means for each stock going forward.

// My Public Stock Portfolio Series – #10to10Kchallenge
In this series, I grow my Robinhood investment account from to ,000, build a portfolio of value stocks, and document the entire process for you to see!

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DISCLAIMER: This video is a resource for educational and general informational purposes and does not constitute actual financial advice. No one should make any investment decision without first consulting his or her own financial advisor and/or conducting his or her own research and due diligence. There is no guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using this content. Investing of any kind involves risk and your investments may lose value.

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This video: https://youtu.be/jbrHMco_pWk
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